When owning the bond beats owning the fund

You will be able to pick between a fund and a direct holding based on the goal and the sum involved.

Arjun has two jobs for his lower-risk money. One is his wedding in two years, with about S$25,000 to pay to the banquet venue and others on known dates. The other is the bond part of his long-term investments, which he will not touch for twenty years or more. His friend says to put both into the same bond fund, because "bonds are bonds". After lesson 7.1, A bond fund never matures, and that changes everything, Arjun suspects the two jobs need different tools.

A known sum on a known date

A single bond, T-bill, SSB or fixed deposit has a property a fund does not: it returns a known amount on a known date. If the issuer pays, a T-bill maturing next March gives you its face value next March, whatever interest rates do in between. An SSB can be redeemed at face value in any month. A fixed deposit returns its principal and interest on the maturity date.

That is exactly what a fixed expense needs. Arjun's wedding payments have dates and amounts. If he holds instruments that mature just before each payment, he knows the money will be there in full. A bond fund cannot promise that. As lesson 7.1 showed, it has no maturity, so a rise in yields just before the wedding could leave him short with no date on which the price must recover.

For money with a date, then, direct holdings are usually the better fit. Government instruments such as T-bills, SSBs and SGS bonds, and insured fixed deposits, also keep credit risk to a minimum, so the only things to manage are timing and rate.

Spreading credit risk is where funds win

Direct holdings have a weakness when it comes to company bonds. Most people can only buy a handful.

Here is a made-up example. Suppose Arjun put S$50,000 into five retail corporate bonds, S$10,000 each. One of the five issuers defaults and bondholders recover 40% of face value, as in the queue from lesson 6.1, What happens when a borrower cannot pay. He loses S$6,000 on that bond, which is 12% of his S$50,000. Several years of the extra yield those bonds paid over government bonds would be needed to make it up.

Now suppose he put the same S$50,000 into a fund holding bonds from 300 issuers in roughly equal amounts. The same default, with the same 40% recovery, costs the fund about 0.2% of its value. The fund still bears credit risk, but no single failure can do much damage.

You cannot build that spread yourself with a few retail bonds. Many corporate bonds are not sold to retail investors at all, as lesson 1.3, Who borrows: governments, banks and companies, explained, and those that are come in minimum amounts that limit how many you can hold. A fund, at the cost of its fees, does the spreading for you.

Funds suit long-term money

For money you do not need for many years, a fund's lack of a maturity date matters much less. You will hold it through many rate cycles, and over a holding period well beyond the fund's duration, the extra income from higher yields tends to make up for price falls, as the rough rule in lesson 7.1 described.

A fund also takes care of the dull work. It reinvests coupons, replaces bonds as they mature, and keeps a steady duration and credit mix, so you never have to roll over a dozen holdings. For the bond part of a long-term portfolio, that convenience is worth a lot, and the spread across issuers is worth even more.

How much of a long-term portfolio should be in bonds, and how to combine a bond fund with share funds, is a separate decision. It is covered in Build and run an ETF portfolio. This course stops at choosing the right tool for each pot.

Putting the two side by side

For the wedding, Arjun chooses direct holdings: T-bills and fixed deposits maturing a few weeks before each payment, with a slice in an SSB for flexibility. The amounts and dates are known, and he wants them met in full.

For the long-term bond part of his investments, he chooses a fund. He has no date to meet, he wants credit risk spread widely, and he has no wish to manage maturities for twenty years.

The pattern generalises. A fixed date and a fixed sum point towards direct holdings that mature in time. A long or open-ended horizon, especially where company bonds are involved, points towards a fund. Pick two goals of your own, one with a date and one without, and decide which route fits each one.

For two of your own goals, one with a fixed date and one open-ended, write whether a fund or direct holding fits and why.

Course

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