Money you need soon does not belong in shares

Sort your savings by when you need them, and explain why money you need soon stays out of shares.

Many people keep their savings as one balance that does several jobs, with nothing showing which money is for what. Before any money goes into shares, you need to know which dollars have a date attached. When you need the money matters more than the return you might earn.

Why the date decides where money can go

Share prices rise over long periods, but not in a straight line. A broad share market can lose a third of its value in a bad year, and at the start of a fall you cannot know whether recovery will take one year or six. If you don't need the money for fifteen years, that uncertainty is uncomfortable but survivable, because you can wait. If you need it in eighteen months, you may not be able to wait.

Putting money with a short date into a volatile asset can leave you with two bad choices: sell at the low and come up short, or break the commitment and hope prices recover. A good long-run average return does not change this, because an average says nothing about the particular year your bill is due.

Nadia's one account and the promise inside it

Nadia is thinking about investing for the first time. She has S$26,000 in one savings account (an example figure, as are all of hers). Her first plan is to put most of it into an ETF and keep a little for emergencies.

Then her sister asks about the renovation. Nadia had promised S$6,000 towards their parents' flat in 2028, and that money sits in the same account with nothing to set it apart. Suppose it went into an ETF and a 30% fall arrived in late 2027, a few months before the renovation bill. The S$6,000 would show S$4,200. Nadia would have to sell at the low and give S$1,800 less than promised, or break the promise and hope prices recover.

Sorting savings into pots with a job and a year

The method is to split your savings into pots, each with one job and a year when it is needed. You can do it in your head, but writing it down works better. Nadia's list has three pots:

Emergency buffer, S$15,000, about six months of her spending. It has no fixed date, because an emergency could come at any time, even next month, so it stays in cash. Renovation, S$6,000, needed in 2028. The date is close and fixed, so this pot stays out of shares. Long-term, S$5,000, with no date, perhaps for retirement or something she has not decided yet. This is the only pot that can go into shares.

Her first plan would have put about S$20,000 into shares, which is her balance minus the renovation money with the buffer still mixed in. The sorted list gives her S$5,000 to start. The amount left to invest may feel small, but it is the honest number. Lesson 2.4, "Write down what this money is for and when", adds the monthly amount Nadia can keep investing from her salary on top of the S$5,000.

Where short-term money goes instead

Money needed within a few years usually belongs where its dollar value won't drop much: cash, fixed deposits, or government bills and bonds such as Treasury bills (T-bills) and Singapore Savings Bonds (SSBs). A common rule of thumb is that money needed within about five years stays out of shares. Treat that as a starting line and move the cut-off earlier if the thought of a fall keeps you up at night.

This course does not cover how to choose between cash, fixed deposits, T-bills, SSBs and bonds. The course "Bonds, T-bills, SSBs and fixed deposits" covers that choice, and its Lesson 7.4, "Match each pot of safe money to an instrument", shows where a pot like Nadia's renovation money belongs. For now you only need to know which pots are off limits for a first ETF.

Why long-term money can sit through a fall

Money you won't touch for many years can ride out falls. With no bill coming, nothing forces a sale, and a fund holding hundreds of companies has years to recover. If Nadia's S$5,000 fell 30% next year, it would show S$3,500. That would hurt to see, but with no bill due she would not have to sell.

Time does not make risk disappear. It gives you room to wait, and that room makes a paper loss (a fall in value you have not realised by selling) temporary and something you can live with. Module 7 shows in dollars what waiting out a fall looks like and how to plan for it.

Your own savings probably have more pots than Nadia's: a wedding, a car, a course, a deposit on a flat. Each one needs a name and a year before you can tell which ones are long-term. Take your current savings and split them that way now, in writing. Keep the emergency buffer in cash with no fixed date. Mark anything due within about five years, or sooner if a fall would worry you, as off limits for shares. Treat only what has no date or a distant one as money for your first ETF, and accept that amount as your starting number even if it is small. Be strict about any pot with a date inside the next few years.

List each pot of savings and the year you expect to need it, then mark the pots that are long-term.

Course

Junxiong-WFG Organisation is an authorised representative of AIA Financial Advisers Private Limited (Reg. No. 201715016G).