FIRE retirement calculator

By MoneyBees

Work out your FIRE number from what you spend, see how many years it takes to reach, and check whether your savings last once you stop working. CPF LIFE payouts, inflation and your withdrawal rate are built in.

Calculator

Your situation

yrs
S$

Cash + investments. Exclude home equity.

S$
%
%

Your own assumption. Figures are shown in today's dollars.

S$

In today's dollars.

%

4% rule is a common starting point.

yrs

Reduces the FI target your private portfolio has to fund

FI number

$1,200,000

expenses / 4%

Years to FI

25 yrs

at age 55

Balance at 55

$1,237,875

FI reached

If you retire at 55, your money lasts

Beyond age 95

your savings outlast the projection at this spending rate

Progress to your FI number

4.2%

$50,000 of $1,200,000

Coast FIRE number at 30

$409,905

invested today, this grows to your FI number by 55 with no more saving

Nest egg projection (real $)

Blue: projected balance in today's dollars (real return of 4.39%). Gold dashed: your FI number.

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Types of FIRE

How aggressive a target you're aiming for changes the multiple of expenses you need.

TypeWhat it meansTarget
Lean FIREA frugal retirement on a tight budget20x (5% SWR)
Standard FIREA comfortable, regular budget25x (4% SWR)
Fat FIREA generous, high-spending lifestyle33x (3% SWR)
Coast FIREEnough invested now to reach FI by your target age without adding moreCoast number above
Barista FIRESemi-retire, with part-time income covering the gap-

Savings rate vs years to financial independence

Starting from nothing, at your real return of 4.39% and a 4% withdrawal rate.

Share of take-home savedYears to FI
10%56
20%40
30%30
40%23
50%18
60%13
70%9

You spend what you do not save, so a higher savings rate both grows the pot faster and lowers the FI number.

Your FI number at each withdrawal rate

Withdrawal rateMultiple of spendingFI number
3%33.3x$1,600,000
3.5%28.6x$1,371,429
4%25.0x$1,200,000
5%20.0x$960,000

How FIRE works

  • FI number = annual expenses / safe withdrawal rate. At a 4% withdrawal rate, that's 25 times expenses.
  • Safe withdrawal rate (SWR) is the % of your portfolio you can withdraw each year and still have a high probability of not running out. The Trinity Study popularised 4%, and many planners use 3% to 3.5% for retirements longer than 30 years.
  • Projections use the real return (return minus inflation) so all figures are in today's dollars.
  • Turn on CPF LIFE to model your payout from its start age: it lowers the FI number your private portfolio must fund and is drawn down with your expenses in the projection.
  • The projection stops contributions at your target retirement age, then draws down your annual expenses each year, so it shows whether your savings actually last.
  • Past returns don't guarantee future ones, so use the projection to plan and revisit it each year.

Worked example

You spend S$48,000 a year and plan on a 4% withdrawal rate, so your FI number is S$1,200,000. With CPF LIFE paying S$1,780 a month from 65, the portfolio only has to cover S$26,640 a year after that, which cuts the long-run target to S$666,000. At a 4% real return, S$1,200,000 needed in 25 years is the same as about S$450,140 invested today, your Coast FIRE number.

Frequently asked questions

What is a FIRE number?

The size of portfolio that lets you live off withdrawals instead of a salary. Divide what you spend in a year by your withdrawal rate. At 4%, S$48,000 a year needs S$1,200,000, or 25 times spending.

Should I use a 4% or 3% withdrawal rate?

The 4% rule came from studies of 30-year retirements using past US market returns. If you stop work at 40 your money may need to last 50 years, so many planners use 3% to 3.5%. At 3%, S$48,000 a year needs S$1,600,000.

How does CPF LIFE change my FIRE number?

CPF LIFE pays you every month for life from 65, so your own portfolio only has to cover the rest. CPF Board estimates S$1,780 a month at the Full Retirement Sum for members turning 55 in 2026. That covers S$21,360 a year, which takes S$534,000 off a FIRE number at 4%.

What is Coast FIRE?

Having enough invested that, without adding another dollar, it grows to your FIRE number by the age you want to retire. The calculator shows that amount for your inputs. Once you pass it, your salary only has to cover what you spend today.

What savings rate do I need to retire early?

It depends on your real return. Starting from nothing at a 5% real return and a 4% withdrawal rate, saving 50% of take-home pay gets you to FI in about 17 years. The table on this page works it out at your own return.

What return should I assume?

Use a real return, after inflation, that you are comfortable defending. Nothing on this page is a forecast. For reference, the CPF Special and Retirement Accounts pay 4% a year in Q4 2026, and investments can lose money in any year.

Should my HDB flat count towards my FIRE number?

Usually not. Your home only pays for groceries if you sell it, rent out part of it or move somewhere smaller. Leave it out of investable assets unless you plan to do one of those.

What is sequence-of-returns risk?

The risk that markets fall early in retirement, while you are already drawing money out. Selling during a fall locks in the loss. A lower withdrawal rate, a cash buffer or spending less in bad years all reduce the risk.

Keep exploring

These calculators provide general estimates for educational purposes only and are not personalised financial advice. Results may rely on rates and rules that change over time, so verify against official sources (IRAS, CPF Board, HDB, MAS) or consult a licensed financial adviser before making decisions.

Junxiong-WFG Organisation is an authorised representative of AIA Financial Advisers Private Limited (Reg. No. 201715016G).